2018 - 2019 Habs Magic Number & Lottery Race

[Flying_Lion 0]

MN is 58.

 

Edited February 2 by Flying_Lion
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[Flying_Lion 0]

MN is 57.

No bonus points available on Sunday but a Bruins loss to the Capitals will move us up into 3rd in the Division on the NL Board. That is, of course, provided we win our own game against the Oilers.

 

[Flying_Lion 0]

MN is 55. 

[Flying_Lion 0]

Updated NL Board.

Granted we have more points than Pittsburgh and Washington so could technically consider ourselves "ahead of them" but given we'd still end up in a WC position I left us in 7th.

[Flying_Lion 0]

MN is 53. 

Updated board to follow hopefully later today. 

[Flying_Lion 0]

[Flying_Lion 0]

Sabres lose with a mercy point.

MN is 52. 

[Flying_Lion 0]

Didn’t want to jinx it. 

MN is 50. 

[Flying_Lion 0]

Updated NL Board.

MN is 50.

[Manatee-X 0]

4 hours ago, Flying_Lion said:

Updated NL Board.

MN is 50.

I like the new left-most column showing the actual playoff positions

[Flying_Lion 0]

MN is 49.

Bonus availability for Sunday:

2pts - regulation Islanders loss (v MIN) and any Hurricanes loss (@ NJD);
1pt - any Islanders loss;
0pts - Islanders victory.

[Flying_Lion 0]

Buffalo loses 3-1 to Winnipeg. 

MN is 48. 

Carolina down 2-1 to New Jersey, 8 left in the third. 

[Flying_Lion 0]

Carolina loses 3-2 in regulation. 

MN is 47. 

[H_T_L 0]

Other then the Bruin win,,,, not a bad night. Leafs lose too.

[Flying_Lion 0]

18 hours ago, H_T_L said:

Other then the Bruin win,,,, not a bad night. Leafs lose too.

Yeah, pretty much the flip of the rest of the weekend.

...

MN is 47.

 

Edited February 11 by Flying_Lion

[Flying_Lion 0]

Quiet week. Just the 1 bonus from the Rangers win over the Sabres.

Tough game ahead versus the Lightning. Don't want to lose too much ground to the chasers. 2 & 1/2 games can disappear in a hurry.

MN is 46.

 

[Flying_Lion 0]

There's never a good time for an extended losing streak. Hopefully we can put an end to it at 3.

MN is 46.

A regulation Pittsburgh loss to the Rangers is good for 1 bonus point.

Edited February 17 by Flying_Lion

[Flying_Lion 0]

 

 

 

MN is 46.

 

 

[Flying_Lion 0]

Right win + right losses = 4 point drop.

MN is 42. 

Updated board hopefully this evening. 

[HabsAlways 0]

5 hours ago, Flying_Lion said:

Right win + right losses = 4 point drop.

MN is 42. 

Updated board hopefully this evening. 

Finally .. MN on the good side ... 22 games to go, 44 possible points. MN two less ... figure if we need 27-30 pts at least to secure a WC spot over those 22.    Google searches and the bookies, depending on site, have us at 70-80% odds of making playoffs

Edited February 20 by HabsAlways

[Flying_Lion 0]

3 hours ago, HabsAlways said:

Finally .. MN on the good side ... 22 games to go, 44 possible points. MN two less ... figure if we need 27-30 pts at least to secure a WC spot over those 22.    Google searches and the bookies, depending on site, have us at 70-80% odds of making playoffs

For sure we're in if we run the table.

We've knocked 71 points (58%) off the MN with our own games so the remaining 42% came from bonus points (points lost by 9th place teams).

If that trend continues, we need to get roughly 60% of those last 42 points - about 25 - from our own games. A record of 12-9-1 would do it.

That said, I don't trust the bonus points to keep coming at such a pace so I'd just as soon run the table.

...

MN is 42.

 

[HabsAlways 0]

if I remember correctly, if we finish in WC1 we play the winner of Metro division in first round, ie the Islanders as of this moment and the winnder of M2 vs M3 in 2nd round ... 

[Flying_Lion 0]

18 hours ago, HabsAlways said:

if I remember correctly, if we finish in WC1 we play the winner of Metro division in first round, ie the Islanders as of this moment and the winnder of M2 vs M3 in 2nd round ... 

Yeah, it's a little weird that way but it is what it is. I find it odd that an Atlantic time could play through the Metro  division and vice versa in the same season.

WC1 is definitely looking like the place to be to have much hope. TB looks near-unbeatable so falling to WC2 probably wouldn't be very enjoyable and securing a division spot to face Toronto or Boston is looking less likely.

...

MN is 42.

2 bonus points available on Thursday: both come with a regulation Hurricanes loss to the Panthers, 1 point if they lose in regulation, nothing if Carolina wins.

 

[Flying_Lion 0]

No help from Florida last night, losing to Carolina in regulation so no bonus points. 

We did our own work, though, so there’s that. 

MN is 40. 

Board update later today or Saturday morning. 

[Flying_Lion 0]

MN is 40.

Carolina's still driving the bonus train: 2 points for a regulation loss vs Dallas, 1 point for an extra time loss, nothing for a Hurricanes win.

Also, should the Canes win, a single bonus point is available from a regulation Pittsburgh loss in Philadelphia.