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2013-2014 Magic Number (MN)


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I've been thinking for a while that it wouldn't surprise me one bit if the winner of that game ends up being the team with home ice advantage.

If we lose that game, I think our odds of 2nd place go way down. We would only have 5 games left to make up as many points as Tampa gets in 7 (including tonight). Even if Tampa goes 4-3, we'd have to go 4-1, including a road game in Chicago. If on the other hand we win that game against Tampa in regulation, we're forcing Tampa to win they're extra two games AND then they'd have to win more points in the remaining 5 games than we gain in our other 5 games. So say the Habs go 2-3, Tampa would need to go 4-2-1 to pass us in their other 7 games. If we go 3-2, it would force TM to have to go 5-1-1. In any case, that TB-Mtl game really makes it hard for the loser to overcome the deficit created by a loss.

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MN Home Ice is 13.

I think we just regained control of our destiny, too.

That we did. Although Tampa also has control of its own destiny by virtue of the fact that they can re-pass us in the MN standings through the head-to-head match-up. Can't emphasize enough how this upcoming TB game is the most important game of the season for us. IF we can win it outright in regulation, we give ourselves a 4-point cushion and a 4-game lead in the ROW tie-breaker, plus the season series tie-breaker. That means TB would need to pass us straight up in overall points or else win at least gain 5 more ROW than us the rest of the way. Given that they'd only have 6 games to go, we'd essentially have to win just 2 more to guarantee the tie-break goes our way. So going 2-3 after the TB game, we would then force Tampa to need 9 points from their final 6 games to pass us. It's doable, but not easy. If we were to go 3-2, we'd force TB to need 11 of 12 points to close out the year. Michel's got to have his boys up for this one: biggest game of the season by far.

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That we did. Although Tampa also has control of its own destiny by virtue of the fact that they can re-pass us in the MN standings through the head-to-head match-up. Can't emphasize enough how this upcoming TB game is the most important game of the season for us. IF we can win it outright in regulation, we give ourselves a 4-point cushion and a 4-game lead in the ROW tie-breaker, plus the season series tie-breaker. That means TB would need to pass us straight up in overall points or else win at least gain 5 more ROW than us the rest of the way. Given that they'd only have 6 games to go, we'd essentially have to win just 2 more to guarantee the tie-break goes our way. So going 2-3 after the TB game, we would then force Tampa to need 9 points from their final 6 games to pass us. It's doable, but not easy. If we were to go 3-2, we'd force TB to need 11 of 12 points to close out the year. Michel's got to have his boys up for this one: biggest game of the season by far.

You need to do the Game Day Thread for Tuesday's game.

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Not to mention go a long way to helping secure home ice. Biggest game of the season?

Pretty close.

...

MN is 2.

Zero Hour tomorrow if the Habs beat Tampa Bay or Washington loses to Dallas or a combination of extra time losses.

Almost party time.

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Oh, we're definitely in the playoffs. But.....

What about the Toronto No-Go Number??? Surely they must be eliminated by now? EIGHT straight losses!! HAW, HAW!

If there werent so many teams fighting for those last few spots they would be. They'll need a mini-miracle (ie they have to win every game for the rest of the year & a couple teams must falter drastically).

Assuming they do miss (which odd are they will), Edmonton & Calgary are officially eliminated, winnipeg, ottawa & vancouver are just about done.... will this be the first year ever that only 1 canadian team makes the post season?

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If there werent so many teams fighting for those last few spots they would be. They'll need a mini-miracle (ie they have to win every game for the rest of the year & a couple teams must falter drastically).

Assuming they do miss (which odd are they will), Edmonton & Calgary are officially eliminated, winnipeg, ottawa & vancouver are just about done.... will this be the first year ever that only 1 canadian team makes the post season?

That's all well and good, but I thought there was an actual number for "TO No Go".....but maybe not?

And yes, the way it looks, the Habs will be the only Canadian team in the playoffs this season.....so they better not blow it!

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If there werent so many teams fighting for those last few spots they would be. They'll need a mini-miracle (ie they have to win every game for the rest of the year & a couple teams must falter drastically).

Assuming they do miss (which odd are they will), Edmonton & Calgary are officially eliminated, winnipeg, ottawa & vancouver are just about done.... will this be the first year ever that only 1 canadian team makes the post season?

According to the CBC this hasn't happened since 1973 - although even at that there were only 3 canadian teams back then (out of 16) and they were all in the same division. It's pretty crazy, especially when you consider that the NHL has so many teams with some form of money problems and that those teams aren't Canadian.

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It's even worse when you consider the situation out West. Because of the way that the conferences are aligned there are only 14 teams in the West, meaning that six don't make the playoffs. Of those six, four are Canadian. Even if all things were equal the chance of that happenning would be tiny. Add in the extra money for the Canadian teams and it's really a spectacular coincidence.

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npo11i.jpg



That's all well and good, but I thought there was an actual number for "TO No Go".....but maybe not?

And yes, the way it looks, the Habs will be the only Canadian team in the playoffs this season.....so they better not blow it!

Yeah, there is. It's currently 11.

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It's even worse when you consider the situation out West. Because of the way that the conferences are aligned there are only 14 teams in the West, meaning that six don't make the playoffs. Of those six, four are Canadian. Even if all things were equal the chance of that happenning would be tiny. Add in the extra money for the Canadian teams and it's really a spectacular coincidence.

By my calculation, the probability that all 4 Canadian teams miss the playoffs in the same year by random chance would be about 1.5%. So yes, pretty unlikely!

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According to the CBC this hasn't happened since 1973 - although even at that there were only 3 canadian teams back then (out of 16) and they were all in the same division. It's pretty crazy, especially when you consider that the NHL has so many teams with some form of money problems and that those teams aren't Canadian.

It goes to show that money cant buy you hockey genius

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Guest habs1952

That's all well and good, but I thought there was an actual number for "TO No Go".....but maybe not?

And yes, the way it looks, the Habs will be the only Canadian team in the playoffs this season.....so they better not blow it!

TEAM CANADA!!!!!

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If we lose in regulation tomorrow night, would we still clinch with a Capitals regulation loss?

Yup! Any points the Capitals lose gives us bonuses, and any point we win obviously takes us down as well. So we clinch tomorrow 1) if we win, 2) if the caps lose in regulation or 3)if both us and the Caps lose in OT

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