Manatee-X Posted April 1, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 I don't think we've had one of those since the Kovalev/Pleky breakout year when we won the East. What was that, 2008? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying_Lion Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 Yup! Any points the Capitals lose gives us bonuses, and any point we win obviously takes us down as well. So we clinch tomorrow 1) if we win, 2) if the caps lose in regulation or 3)if both us and the Caps lose in OT Well my work here is done. ... Actually it's worth noting that it's a 4-point game in the MN Home Ice count, since TB is our only competitors in that regards. It drops 4 if we win in regulation. 3 if we win in extra time. 1 if we lose in extra time. 0 if we lose in regulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeanCountingHab Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 Well my work here is done. ... Actually it's worth noting that it's a 4-point game in the MN Home Ice count, since TB is our only competitors in that regards. It drops 4 if we win in regulation. 3 if we win in extra time. 1 if we lose in extra time. 0 if we lose in regulation. And unless I'm mistaken our MN Home Ice count is currently 12, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigTed3 Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 And unless I'm mistaken our MN Home Ice count is currently 12, correct? It's a tough one to figure out... if we win out, we could still do so by winning all the games in shoot-outs. In that situation, if TB won its games in regulation, they would pass us in the ROW category. However, because of the head-to-head with TB tonight, if we do get 2 points tonight, TB automatically loses at least one point in the MN standings by virtue of their loss. So technically, if we win all 12 points of our own, we clinch home ice. But if we lose in OT tonight, the MN would still be 12 even though we've gained a point. It'll all become clear after the game tonight, following the MN adjustments that FL has written out. But yes, technically, you are correct... it's just a different way of looking at things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying_Lion Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 It's a tough one to figure out... if we win out, we could still do so by winning all the games in shoot-outs. In that situation, if TB won its games in regulation, they would pass us in the ROW category. However, because of the head-to-head with TB tonight, if we do get 2 points tonight, TB automatically loses at least one point in the MN standings by virtue of their loss. So technically, if we win all 12 points of our own, we clinch home ice. But if we lose in OT tonight, the MN would still be 12 even though we've gained a point. It'll all become clear after the game tonight, following the MN adjustments that FL has written out. But yes, technically, you are correct... it's just a different way of looking at things. Dang you, Ted. If you're not going to do a Game Day Thread, you might just have to take over this whole MN thing, too! My math doesn't take the future into account so the Home Ice number still reads 13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 CLINCHED Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying_Lion Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 CLINCHED Yeppers! I was so caught up in the Home Ice race that I forgot about the Washington game. ... MN is 0. MN Home Ice is 13. ... Take a drink and celebrate, all. It's been a blast. There were some low moments but the Team overcame adversity and avoided all poorly driven 18-wheelers. This Is Not An April Fools Prank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Can't thank you enough for all the fine work you've done in here this year FL. Let's do it again next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying_Lion Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Can't thank you enough for all the fine work you've done in here this year FL. Let's do it again next year. It's only fun when the number hits 0, so by all means: let's do it again next year. I can't take any credit for it, though. It was the Team on the ice that got the job done and made the math work. ... Unfortunately we're going to the dance on a loss and the Lightning clinched as well. They also take the advantage in the race for home ice. It's a bittersweet evening. Leafs won, too, so everyone's happy for a bit, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest habs1952 Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Yeppers! I was so caught up in the Home Ice race that I forgot about the Washington game. ... MN is 0. MN Home Ice is 13. ... Take a drink and celebrate, all. It's been a blast. There were some low moments but the Team overcame adversity and avoided all poorly driven 18-wheelers. This Is Not An April Fools Prank. Awesome job FL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ColRouleBleu Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Can't thank you enough for all the fine work you've done in here this year FL. Let's do it again next year. Same message from me. Great work FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
31Careyprice Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Awesome officially made the playoffs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigTed3 Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 I really only get interested in calculating clinching and playoff spots with about 4-6 weeks to go in the season. You do great work, FL, to maintain this for the entire year and keep everything so accurate. Great job! Happy to see the Habs in the dance, but as I said in the GDT, huge blown opportunity to put a stranglehold on home ice last night and we came up empty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HabsRuleForever Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Great work on the thread FL, your contract has been extended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
habs-24 Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Amazing work all year Lion from October to April its nice to have someone who puts in this work to allow us to follow where we are sitting and when we can clinch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodenhhead Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 You da man! Anybody have the magic number for when Lion starts the next MN thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEBIGGESTHABSFAN123 Posted April 3, 2014 Report Share Posted April 3, 2014 Yeah great job FL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying_Lion Posted April 3, 2014 Report Share Posted April 3, 2014 Hey gang, thanks for all the kind words. In all honesty, I consider it a privilege to be able to contribute to this aspect of the Forum. It was choc's great work that brought me to this site however many years ago it and I'm only trying to carry the torch (as it were) best I can. I'm totally game for next season but if anyone wants to take the reins and breathe some new life into things, I'm not so proud as to not step aside for fresh blood. Or if nobody wants to but anyone has ideas to make things better, that works too. The new MN, I guess, is 16. ... That said, the MN Home Ice is still 13. Calgary can play spoilers tonight if they can hand the Lightning a loss. Standard 2-1-0 Bonus Points are available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying_Lion Posted April 4, 2014 Report Share Posted April 4, 2014 Tampa Bay's loss drops the MN Home Ice to 11. Back in control of our own destiny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woodenhhead Posted April 4, 2014 Report Share Posted April 4, 2014 The new MN, I guess, is 16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying_Lion Posted April 5, 2014 Report Share Posted April 5, 2014 Just waiting for the game to end. Maybe I'm jumping the gun. Had to get out of the GDT because there's so much to respond to. Gotta sleep tonight and work early tomorrow. ...... Habs MN Home Ice is 9. G'night all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying_Lion Posted April 5, 2014 Report Share Posted April 5, 2014 Might be worth noting that the Lightning's 'game in hand' after tonight will be played Tuesday against Toronto. Might be worth noting that the Lightning's 'game in hand' after tonight will be played Tuesday against Toronto. Habs MN Home Ice is 9. ... I feel bad because I've neglected the full table. I forgot that we were counting down towards Toronto golf. I have to work tomorrow. I'll give you something for Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
habs_93 Posted April 5, 2014 Report Share Posted April 5, 2014 Thanks again for all the work, FL. I'll PM you that YouTube link later in the night/morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigTed3 Posted April 5, 2014 Report Share Posted April 5, 2014 To catch us, Columbus would have to run the table 5-0 and we'd have to go 0-4, which is quite unlikely. So we're pretty much guaranteed to not play Boston in the 1st round now. To pass us, Det needs to go at least 4-1 or 3-0-2 in their last 5. If we win tomorrow night, we are locked into the 2-3 game. According to sportsclubstats, we now have a 98.8% chance of playing TB in the first round, with small odds of it being Det or Pit instead. We have a 61% chance of finishing 2nd. If we can get to 100 points, it puts our odds over 50%, whereas 99 points puts us at 50% or less chance of getting home ice. So the goal needs to be to grab at least 5 points in the last 4 games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigTed3 Posted April 5, 2014 Report Share Posted April 5, 2014 Biggest of the games remaining goes tonight... as I said, a win tonight in any form (including a shootout) guarantees Det can't catch us and so locks us into that 2-3 game. If we lose to Det in regulation, however, we sit 5 points ahead of them and the Wings' remaining games are against two bottom-feeders (Buf and Car), a team that is already locked into its playoff position (Pit), and a team that will likely be locked into its position by the time they face them (Stl). Suffice it to say that the best way to not have to let this come down to the wire is to beat Det tonight and end any hope of their catching us. Re-assessing Tampa's remaining games, they have Dal, Tor, Phi, and Clb at home and Was on the road. The Caps are possibly going to be done by the time that game comes around, but the other 4 are happily against contenders. If we guess Tampa squeezes two points from an unmotivated Washington team and gets 5 of 8 from the other 4 games, it would put them at 100 total on the season. We would own the tie-break in all likelihood, so we'd need to squeeze 5 points out of our remaining 4 games to grab home ice. A win against Det goes a long way towards that, or else it might come down to having to beat a NYR team battling for home ice themselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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