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Game #31 - Buffalo Sabres @ Montréal Canadiens 7:00 EST - CBC RDS MSG-Buffalo TSN 690


habs_93

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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAdegeZBUqg

Sabres (6-21-2, 16th in East/30th in NHL) @ Canadiens (18-9-3, 2nd in East/8th in NHL)

Habs lines from John Lu:

Bournival - Plekanec - Gionta

Pacioretty - Desharnais - Gallagher

Galchenyuk - Eller - Brière

Moen - Prust - Parros

Markov - Subban

Gorges - Emelin

Murray - Diaz

Price

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Wow. Let me be the first second ( thanks, CRB :P ) to say......AWESOME GDT and Video!!!

Habs gotta stay sharp in this one. Total trap game. In fact, this one is the perfect definition.

Pre-game:

"Oh, this one should be easy....Buffalo's the worst team in the NHL."

Post-game:

"I can't believe the Habs still play down to the level of their opponent."

I really, really want to see them increase their lead in the division.....but you know, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they don't show up for this game, and then find themselves in a hole late in the third, only to try to rally in the last five minutes.....again. But one of these times, it will be too little, too late.

Hope it's not tonight....but you never know with this team. Have they finally kicked the curse?

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Thanks, guys. :) I had originally planned a lot more visual elements for it, but I vastly underestimated how long they'd take to render. I modelled the CH in 3D, but it was taking a... long time to turn into images. If I hadn't cancelled it last night, it would've taken something like 12 straight days to finish. :huh: For the next one, though!

Hope it's not tonight....but you never know with this team. Have they finally kicked the curse?

I'm hoping to break my Sabres GDT curse, that's for sure. I thought I'd try to work super hard on it and maybe the Habs would play with similar levels of dedication. B)

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If Bournival is indeed moved up to the Pleks line, I can only say "Bravo!". I'm liking his play.

__________________________________________________________________

I read Stubbs being quoted as saying the Habs are 12-2-1 (.833 points percentage) when they record a 5 minute fighting major. That would mean in the other half of their 30 games to date, the Habs are 6-7-2 (.467 points percentage). I couldn't find the Stubbs source.

But I ran the numbers from NHL.com and the above is accurate. Now, I was concerned maybe the Habs were just happening to drop the gloves against the lighter opponents, but that is not the case -- it's actually slightly in favour of tougher opponents:

  • Habs are .833 against teams that are currently an average of .553 when they fight (50% of 30 games to date)
  • Habs are .467 against teams that are currently an average of .526 when they don't fight (50% of 30 games to date)

Explains why Parros dresses, and possibly why Prust drops the gloves, like against Boston. Maybe the Habs team feeds off it. I would regard the stat as statistically significant.

It may also suggest looking to getting that fight in, maybe early the first period :D.

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If Bournival is indeed moved up to the Pleks line, I can only say "Bravo!". I'm liking his play.

__________________________________________________________________

I read Stubbs being quoted as saying the Habs are 12-2-1 (.833 points percentage) when they record a 5 minute fighting major. That would mean in the other half of their 30 games to date, the Habs are 6-7-2 (.467 points percentage). I couldn't find the Stubbs source.

But I ran the numbers from NHL.com and the above is accurate. Now, I was concerned maybe the Habs were just happening to drop the gloves against the lighter opponents, but that is not the case -- it's actually slightly in favour of tougher opponents:

  • Habs are .833 against teams that are currently an average of .553 when they fight (50% of 30 games to date)
  • Habs are .467 against teams that are currently an average of .526 when they don't fight (50% of 30 games to date)

Explains why Parros dresses, and possibly why Prust drops the gloves, like against Boston. Maybe the Habs team feeds off it. I would regard the stat as statistically significant.

It may also suggest looking to getting that fight in, maybe early the first period :D.

Yes, it can positively influence a game, it can also negatively influence a game if your player is knocked out. Last season when boston was taking it to us, Prust fought Lucic just before the end of the period, long story short, the boys came out and won the game. I know the anti fighting lobbyists are going to say it had no bearing on the game, but that's because they have never played hockey and haven't seen how pumped a dressing room can be after seeing your teammate beat up or at least stand his ground against a bigger opponent.

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Yes, it can positively influence a game, it can also negatively influence a game if your player is knocked out. Last season when boston was taking it to us, Prust fought Lucic just before the end of the period, long story short, the boys came out and won the game. I know the anti fighting lobbyists are going to say it had no bearing on the game, but that's because they have never played hockey and haven't seen how pumped a dressing room can be after seeing your teammate beat up or at least stand his ground against a bigger opponent.

[in response to FirstStar's post above....]

I've never played hockey, but I know this is true.

We're always wondering, "why are they so good on some nights, but then on others, look like an entirely different team?" Obviously, it's the mental aspect.

No intermission speech by a coach ever gave any player more skill. Seeing a teammate get hurt never did, either. And neither did a great fight at a critical point in a hockey game. It's all about finding that human "spark" to get motivated enough to "reach down deep" and pull one out. The skill level always stays the same.

This is why I believe coaching to be the most important aspect of team sport. There have been lots of talented rosters that never reached their potential, and many others made up of virtual unknowns that surprised everybody.

During the course of a game, one team will find itself down on the scoreboard and need to kick it into a higher gear. But first, it must find that gear. Players are always looking for something -- anything -- to spark that "something extra," and fighting in hockey can, and does, provide it in many instances.

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